Ukraine Russian will end in June 2025

 

Date June 9 2023

Then Ukraine war can only end in one way stalemate. Ukraine can not and will never

 invade or conquer Russia or even set soldiers on Russian soil, they neither have the

 manpower nor will NATO allow the attack on a Nuclear power. Nor has Russia

 demonstrated the ability to conquer Ukraine out right. So there are only the questions of when and the terms of the peace deal. 

 

The when is easy I personally think it will happen 6 months after the 2025 United States 

presidential election. So about June 2025. Why? because Biden will lose the election to

 Trump and Trump is all about the deal. He has shown his weakness in the face of Russia

 so much so that there are actually running joke. I think

 that he will frame his intervention as him being a statesman and bring peace and an end

 to the war, I am sure that this will be celebrated with his base. And  NATO will follow

 whatever the US does.

 

The terms of the deal as far as the land, and the borders will probably be whatever the

 military line of control is on the ground while the deal was made. If I was to put money

 on it I would say Russia should hold on to most of Crimea, even if there is any sort of

 gain of land in the Crimea then part of the peace deal will give control of military sea

 bases for the Black Sea and its defendable land and some sort of connection to Russia.

 To the east, this is the battle zone Ukraine will fight Russia taking back some of the land

 while Russia would keep some. The long-term goal of any Ukrainian military

 commander is to capture and hold as much of this land as possible.

 To NATO or not to NATO that is the question do you allow Ukraine to join NATO? I

 have no idea. I know Russia will not like it and ironically enough one of the reasons that

 Russia would have had to invade Ukraine was to prevent it from joining NATO but has

 had the opposite effect causing countries like Finland and Sweden to want to join NATO

 too. My money is that it will probably be some kind of buffer state between NATO and

 Russia, but that is a strategic decision that is not easy to predict. However, Ukraine

 would probably be allowed to join the EU if its economy is in line with EU standards.

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